Christian Dvorak vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Pageau 59.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 56.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 80.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Dvorak
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dvorak
Pageau
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Dvorak
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
59.4% (726)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
69.0% (42)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
59.7% (221)
-13.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pageau
Home
53.9% (497)
58.4% (430)
Away
53.3% (522)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Dvorak
Pageau
P1
54.6%
55.4%
P2
53.2%
61.8%
P3
54.3%
61.5%
OT
34.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |