Christian Dvorak vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Pageau 54.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 44-41 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 66.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 54.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Dvorak
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
44
(85 meetings)
41
44
Dvorak
Pageau
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
19
14
Dvorak
Pageau
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
20
Dvorak
Pageau
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
11
10
Dvorak
Pageau
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
55.8% (9,525)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
57.0% (1,008)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
49.6% (2,077)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pageau
Home
54.7% (4,151)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Dvorak
Pageau
P1
54.5%
54.7%
P2
51.9%
56.3%
P3
53.1%
53.5%
OT
56.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |