Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.8% vs 58.1%). Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
58.9% (1,096)
-1.9%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
68.4% (57)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
51.8% (222)
-1.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
58.3% (151)
57.0% (646)
Away
57.4% (190)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
56.7%
55.9%
P2
56.7%
55.4%
P3
59.6%
62.0%
OT
60.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
61.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
57.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |