Christian Dvorak vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs McTavish 49.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 66.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 58.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Dvorak
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
McTavish
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Dvorak
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Dvorak
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
47.6% (618)
+6.6%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
58.3% (103)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
33.3% (6)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McTavish
Home
53.9% (497)
52.2% (391)
Away
53.3% (522)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Dvorak
McTavish
P1
54.6%
50.2%
P2
53.2%
47.7%
P3
54.3%
49.2%
OT
34.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |