Christian Dvorak vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs McTavish 48.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 75.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 73.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 73.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Dvorak
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Dvorak
McTavish
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Dvorak
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
3
Dvorak
McTavish
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
5
Dvorak
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
48.2% (2,790)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
52.8% (436)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
34.3% (35)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McTavish
Home
54.7% (4,151)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Dvorak
McTavish
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
51.9%
47.7%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |