Christian Dvorak vs Michael McCarron

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Christian Dvorak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dvorak 53.2% vs McCarron 52.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Dvorak 76.9%
Defensive zone McCarron 79.5%
Neutral zone McCarron 55.9%
Result Michael McCarron favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Dvorak McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 5 (9 meetings)
4
5
Dvorak McCarron
Last 9: Dvorak 4-5 McCarron

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Dvorak McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak McCarron
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dvorak
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
52.5% (562)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (86)
22.2% (9)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
54.3% (164)
-0.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +30.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dvorak is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Dvorak shoots left. McCarron is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCarron
Home
53.1% (341)
52.5% (373)
Away
54.3% (361)
52.5% (362)
By Period
Dvorak
McCarron
P1
52.8%
58.9%
P2
53.4%
49.2%
P3
55.7%
49.4%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%
52.0%
53.7%
McCarron
32.0%
49.0%
52.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 6, 2025 3 19:27 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 6, 2025 3 16:03 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025 3 15:59 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 6, 2025 3 15:54 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Nov 6, 2025 1 15:00 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025 1 06:25 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Oct 30, 2025 2 07:27 Defensive Michael McCarron