Christian Dvorak vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.2% vs McCarron 52.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 79.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Dvorak
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dvorak
McCarron
Last 9: Dvorak 4-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Dvorak
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
52.5% (562)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (86)
22.2% (9)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
54.3% (164)
-0.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dvorak is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Dvorak shoots left. McCarron is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCarron
Home
53.1% (341)
52.5% (373)
Away
54.3% (361)
52.5% (362)
By Period
Dvorak
McCarron
P1
52.8%
58.9%
P2
53.4%
49.2%
P3
55.7%
49.4%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.7%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |