Christian Dvorak vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs McCarron 52.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 84.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Dvorak
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dvorak
McCarron
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
5
Dvorak
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
52.8% (697)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
18.2% (11)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
52.6% (211)
-6.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCarron
Home
53.9% (497)
52.8% (477)
Away
53.3% (522)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Dvorak
McCarron
P1
54.6%
56.2%
P2
53.2%
52.4%
P3
54.3%
48.7%
OT
34.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |