Christian Dvorak vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.7%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs McCarron 52.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 71.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Dvorak
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Dvorak
McCarron
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
2
Dvorak
McCarron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
8
Dvorak
McCarron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
7
4
Dvorak
McCarron
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
53.3% (2,926)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
45.3% (86)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
50.1% (469)
+0.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCarron
Home
54.7% (4,151)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Dvorak
McCarron
P1
54.5%
53.8%
P2
51.9%
52.3%
P3
53.1%
51.9%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |