Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Frost 49.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 88.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 55.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Dvorak
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dvorak
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Dvorak
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Dvorak
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
48.6% (704)
+8.4%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
55.7% (115)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Frost
Home
58.3% (151)
49.9% (399)
Away
57.4% (190)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Dvorak
Frost
P1
56.7%
51.2%
P2
56.7%
53.9%
P3
59.6%
42.7%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
57.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |