Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Zacha 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 73.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Dvorak
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Zacha
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
53.0% (700)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
54.1% (109)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
39.2% (74)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zacha
Home
53.9% (497)
51.6% (438)
Away
53.3% (522)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Dvorak
Zacha
P1
54.6%
57.0%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
54.3%
50.5%
OT
34.8%
42.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |