Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.2% vs Zacha 51.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Dvorak
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
53.7% (497)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.3% (86)
54.8% (84)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
37.5% (64)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dvorak shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zacha
Home
53.1% (341)
51.0% (335)
Away
54.3% (361)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Dvorak
Zacha
P1
52.8%
60.0%
P2
53.4%
48.1%
P3
55.7%
48.8%
OT
38.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |