Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Zacha 54.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 66.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Dvorak
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Dvorak
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
53.9% (787)
+3.1%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
63.2% (193)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.3% (88)
+5.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zacha
Home
58.3% (151)
56.7% (538)
Away
57.4% (190)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Dvorak
Zacha
P1
56.7%
52.6%
P2
56.7%
54.8%
P3
59.6%
56.8%
OT
60.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
61.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
57.8%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |