Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
46.0% (250)
+8.2%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
70.6% (17)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
31.8% (22)
+14.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.9% (497)
50.3% (175)
Away
53.3% (522)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.6%
48.5%
P2
53.2%
45.9%
P3
54.3%
46.5%
OT
34.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%