Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 34-19 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 90.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 96.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 95.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
19
(53 meetings)
34
19
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
15
3
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
10
9
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
7
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
44.8% (8,775)
+8.3%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
50.6% (844)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
37.8% (880)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.7% (4,151)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.5%
45.1%
P2
51.9%
43.9%
P3
53.1%
45.2%
OT
56.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |