Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 53.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Dvorak
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
55.7% (856)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
57.5% (233)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
50.0% (144)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
53.9% (497)
55.5% (616)
Away
53.3% (522)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
54.6%
58.1%
P2
53.2%
54.9%
P3
54.3%
53.9%
OT
34.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |