Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 62 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 99-65 in 164 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 70.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 70.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
99
(164 meetings)
65
99
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
22
40
Dvorak
O'Reilly
62 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
21
38
Dvorak
O'Reilly
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
22
21
Dvorak
O'Reilly
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
56.2% (15,290)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
58.7% (3,457)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
51.4% (2,826)
-0.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
54.7% (4,151)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
51.9%
57.0%
P3
53.1%
55.0%
OT
56.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |