Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Aho 52.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 66.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dvorak
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Dvorak
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
51.6% (819)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
58.4% (173)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
46.3% (67)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
59.0% (432)
53.9% (568)
Away
54.8% (535)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
58.7%
55.4%
P2
53.9%
51.2%
P3
57.2%
50.9%
OT
70.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
56.7%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |