Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Aho 50.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 53.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 72.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 54.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Dvorak
Aho
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
6
Dvorak
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
1
Dvorak
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
50.5% (878)
+3.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
53.5% (144)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
44.3% (61)
+2.1%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
53.9% (497)
53.8% (571)
Away
53.3% (522)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
54.6%
49.0%
P2
53.2%
51.7%
P3
54.3%
50.3%
OT
34.8%
58.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |