Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Evans 55.0% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 81.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Giroux
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Giroux
Evans
Last 6: Giroux 3-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Giroux
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
55.6% (522)
+5.4%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
72.7% (11)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
55.2% (210)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Giroux
Evans
Home
66.6% (350)
54.7% (402)
Away
59.2% (346)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Giroux
Evans
P1
62.1%
57.9%
P2
64.7%
55.2%
P3
61.6%
53.6%
OT
69.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |