Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Evans 52.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 94.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 50.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 73.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Giroux
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Giroux
Evans
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
9
3
Giroux
Evans
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Giroux
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
53.7% (3,740)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
60.6% (71)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
47.1% (1,228)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,134).
Giroux shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Giroux
Evans
Home
59.2% (10,265)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Giroux
Evans
P1
57.5%
54.0%
P2
56.2%
50.9%
P3
57.3%
52.0%
OT
51.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |