Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Tavares 56.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 61.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 88.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 55.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Giroux
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Giroux
Tavares
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Giroux
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
10
1
Giroux
Tavares
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Giroux
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
57.7% (975)
+3.3%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
56.0% (250)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
52.2% (23)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Giroux
Tavares
Home
66.6% (350)
57.4% (636)
Away
59.2% (346)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Giroux
Tavares
P1
62.1%
57.5%
P2
64.7%
56.9%
P3
61.6%
57.5%
OT
69.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |