Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 121 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 151-137 in 288 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 54.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 75.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 59.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Giroux
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
151
-
137
(288 meetings)
151
137
Giroux
Tavares
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
37
77
Giroux
Tavares
114 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
88
33
Giroux
Tavares
121 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
26
27
Giroux
Tavares
53 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
54.0% (16,169)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
56.4% (4,298)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
50.5% (624)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Giroux
Tavares
Home
59.2% (10,265)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Giroux
Tavares
P1
57.5%
55.0%
P2
56.2%
54.1%
P3
57.3%
54.0%
OT
51.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |