Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Dowd 48.6% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 96.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 53.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 76.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Giroux
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Giroux
Dowd
Last 6: Giroux 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Giroux
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
51.0% (671)
+10.0%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
0.0% (2)
+66.4%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
41.5% (224)
+24.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +66.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dowd
Home
66.6% (350)
48.2% (471)
Away
59.2% (346)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Giroux
Dowd
P1
62.1%
48.3%
P2
64.7%
46.8%
P3
61.6%
51.0%
OT
69.2%
30.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |