Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 40 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 60-31 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 99.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 77.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 93.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Giroux
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
31
(91 meetings)
60
31
Giroux
Dowd
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
37
3
Giroux
Dowd
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
14
19
Giroux
Dowd
33 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Giroux
Dowd
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
52.3% (6,036)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
56.1% (164)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
44.1% (1,638)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,134).
Giroux shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dowd
Home
59.2% (10,265)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Giroux
Dowd
P1
57.5%
51.5%
P2
56.2%
50.4%
P3
57.3%
50.3%
OT
51.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |