Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Thompson 45.2% (+18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 52.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 62.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Giroux
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Giroux
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
44.6% (661)
+16.4%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
48.4% (95)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
33.3% (33)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thompson
Home
66.6% (350)
45.7% (411)
Away
59.2% (346)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Giroux
Thompson
P1
62.1%
47.7%
P2
64.7%
45.7%
P3
61.6%
40.5%
OT
69.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
61.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |