Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 84.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 81.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 77.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Giroux
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
17
(37 meetings)
20
17
Giroux
Thompson
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
5
Giroux
Thompson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Giroux
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Giroux
Thompson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
42.9% (3,540)
+12.9%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
46.9% (373)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
33.6% (265)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,134).
Giroux shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thompson
Home
59.2% (10,265)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Giroux
Thompson
P1
57.5%
44.4%
P2
56.2%
43.7%
P3
57.3%
40.0%
OT
51.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |