Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 62.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 90.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 77.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Giroux
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Giroux
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Giroux
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
40.7% (460)
+14.8%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
61.5% (39)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
0.0% (1)
+58.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Giroux
Novak
Home
59.0% (576)
47.0% (236)
Away
56.9% (576)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Giroux
Novak
P1
57.0%
43.1%
P2
58.1%
43.1%
P3
58.9%
40.1%
Final 5 min
61.6%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
58.0%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |