Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Novak 43.0% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 92.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 98.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 96.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 96.1%
96.1%
3.9%
Giroux
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Giroux
Novak
Last 10: Giroux 10-0 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
0
Giroux
Novak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
41.9% (1,565)
+13.9%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
51.5% (134)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
50.0% (2)
+7.5%
On even strength, Giroux has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Giroux
Novak
Home
59.2% (10,265)
45.1% (831)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
40.2% (870)
By Period
Giroux
Novak
P1
57.5%
43.7%
P2
56.2%
42.9%
P3
57.3%
41.1%
OT
51.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |