Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glass 49.7% vs Larkin 52.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glass 57.7%
Defensive zone
Glass 59.2%
Neutral zone
Glass 58.4%
Result
Cody Glass favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Glass
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Glass
Larkin
Last 8: Glass 2-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Glass
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Glass
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glass
1
0
Glass
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glass
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,389)
51.6% (9,056)
-1.7%
Power Play
47.6% (189)
58.6% (2,140)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (103)
50.2% (1,124)
-3.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Glass is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,917).
Glass shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Home / Away
Glass
Larkin
Home
49.9% (1,462)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
49.3% (1,219)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Glass
Larkin
P1
47.6%
52.7%
P2
49.6%
53.1%
P3
52.1%
52.0%
OT
38.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glass
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.6%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Cody Glass |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |