Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs Larkin 54.1% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Blackwell
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
53.6% (886)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.7% (152)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Blackwell shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Larkin
Home
57.9% (19)
56.6% (700)
Away
41.2% (17)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Blackwell
Larkin
P1
45.5%
55.4%
P2
57.1%
54.7%
P3
45.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
62.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
50.0%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.4%