Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Larkin 52.2% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 76.3%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 55.5%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Blackwell
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
51.1% (915)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
59.4% (261)
-59.4%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
48.2% (168)
-16.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Larkin
Home
44.3% (149)
51.7% (686)
Away
41.2% (119)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Blackwell
Larkin
P1
46.1%
52.5%
P2
34.5%
52.7%
P3
47.8%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%