Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Drury 57.7% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 56.9%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 60.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 57.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Blackwell
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Blackwell
Drury
Last 5: Blackwell 2-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
2
Blackwell
Drury
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Blackwell
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
60.7% (702)
-11.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
40.0% (10)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
50.9% (165)
-19.5%
On power play, Drury has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Drury
Home
44.3% (149)
58.0% (429)
Away
41.2% (119)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Blackwell
Drury
P1
46.1%
58.6%
P2
34.5%
57.9%
P3
47.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |