Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Drury 57.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 68.0%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 56.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 59.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Blackwell
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Blackwell
Drury
Last 6: Blackwell 3-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
2
Blackwell
Drury
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
57.9% (2,010)
-8.6%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
58.5% (118)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
53.0% (300)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Blackwell shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Drury
Home
46.0% (485)
57.9% (1,234)
Away
48.9% (523)
56.7% (1,194)
By Period
Blackwell
Drury
P1
47.3%
55.9%
P2
47.2%
58.7%
P3
48.1%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |