Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Hayes 42.7% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 84.0%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 54.2%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Blackwell
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
31.9% (91)
+17.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.3% (14)
-64.3%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
0.0% (1)
+31.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hayes
Home
44.3% (149)
30.6% (49)
Away
41.2% (119)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Blackwell
Hayes
P1
46.1%
22.9%
P2
34.5%
40.0%
P3
47.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%