Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Rossi 49.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 70.8%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 82.9%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 66.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Blackwell
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Blackwell
Rossi
Last 5: Blackwell 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Blackwell
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
51.6% (440)
-2.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
35.1% (37)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
37.0% (27)
-5.6%
On power play, Rossi has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Rossi
Home
44.3% (149)
50.0% (260)
Away
41.2% (119)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Blackwell
Rossi
P1
46.1%
53.7%
P2
34.5%
47.6%
P3
47.8%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |