Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 46.6%). Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Rossi 46.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Blackwell leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 66.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 76.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.1%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Blackwell
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Blackwell
Rossi
Last 10: Blackwell 6-4 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
4
Blackwell
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
4
0
Blackwell
Rossi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
46.8% (2,180)
+2.5%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
47.1% (189)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
34.1% (44)
+6.4%
On power play, Blackwell has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Blackwell shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Rossi
Home
46.0% (485)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
48.9% (523)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Blackwell
Rossi
P1
47.3%
47.1%
P2
47.2%
44.7%
P3
48.1%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |