Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Dowd 48.6% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 59.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.7%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 61.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Blackwell
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
51.0% (671)
-2.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
41.5% (224)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Blackwell is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Blackwell shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dowd
Home
44.3% (149)
48.2% (471)
Away
41.2% (119)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Blackwell
Dowd
P1
46.1%
48.3%
P2
34.5%
46.8%
P3
47.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%