Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 52.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 88.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 69.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Blackwell
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Blackwell
Suzuki
Last 6: Blackwell 0-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Blackwell
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Blackwell
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
49.4% (6,368)
-0.1%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
50.8% (1,355)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
44.0% (466)
-3.5%
On power play, Blackwell has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Blackwell is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Blackwell shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Suzuki
Home
46.0% (485)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.9% (523)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Blackwell
Suzuki
P1
47.3%
48.9%
P2
47.2%
49.1%
P3
48.1%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |