Colin Blackwell vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Blackwell 60.8%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 79.0%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 73.5%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Last 10: Blackwell 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
8
Blackwell
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
2
Blackwell
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
56.2% (15,290)
-6.9%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
58.7% (3,457)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
51.4% (2,826)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Blackwell shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Home
46.0% (485)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
48.9% (523)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Blackwell
O'Reilly
P1
47.3%
55.6%
P2
47.2%
57.0%
P3
48.1%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |