Colin Blackwell vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Blackwell 75.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 84.3%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 80.3%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Last 10: Blackwell 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Blackwell
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Blackwell
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (649)
56.2% (15,103)
-7.4%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
58.7% (3,395)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (244)
51.6% (2,769)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Blackwell is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Blackwell shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,572).
Home / Away
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Home
45.6% (436)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
49.3% (495)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Blackwell
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
55.5%
P2
47.4%
57.0%
P3
47.4%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.6%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |