Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 44 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 54-47 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.0%
Neutral zone
Sissons 60.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
47
(101 meetings)
54
47
Sissons
Larkin
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
28
Sissons
Larkin
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
37
7
Sissons
Larkin
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
12
Sissons
Larkin
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,078)
51.6% (9,056)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.7% (458)
58.6% (2,140)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
50.2% (1,124)
-1.7%
On even strength, Sissons has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,973).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
54.1% (4,252)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
53.8%
52.7%
P2
53.2%
53.1%
P3
54.8%
52.0%
OT
49.1%
58.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
53.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |