Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 72.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 50.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Sissons
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Sissons
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
57.7% (998)
-0.9%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
60.5% (271)
-30.1%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
56.4% (39)
-4.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Sissons shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Sissons
Tavares
Home
54.8% (301)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.8% (323)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Sissons
Tavares
P1
53.0%
57.2%
P2
49.3%
58.5%
P3
61.4%
59.4%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
54.8%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |