Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.4%). Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 33-26 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Sissons
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
26
(59 meetings)
33
26
Sissons
Tavares
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
15
Sissons
Tavares
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
21
3
Sissons
Tavares
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
8
Sissons
Tavares
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,081)
54.0% (16,169)
+1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (459)
56.4% (4,298)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
50.5% (624)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,977).
Sissons shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Sissons
Tavares
Home
54.1% (4,256)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Sissons
Tavares
P1
53.8%
55.0%
P2
53.2%
54.1%
P3
54.8%
54.0%
OT
49.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
53.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |