Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Duchene 51.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 84.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Sissons
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sissons
Duchene
Last 6: Sissons 3-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Sissons
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
51.1% (366)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
61.5% (65)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
16.7% (6)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Sissons
Duchene
Home
53.6% (278)
51.7% (201)
Away
60.0% (305)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Sissons
Duchene
P1
56.2%
49.0%
P2
58.3%
57.1%
P3
56.4%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |