Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Sissons
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Sissons
Duchene
Last 10: Sissons 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
6
Sissons
Duchene
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
12
3
Sissons
Duchene
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
4
Sissons
Duchene
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,078)
53.9% (10,438)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.7% (458)
57.0% (1,677)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
49.1% (468)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,973).
Sissons shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Sissons
Duchene
Home
54.1% (4,252)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Sissons
Duchene
P1
53.8%
54.4%
P2
53.2%
54.5%
P3
54.8%
53.4%
OT
49.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
53.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |