Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.1%). Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Frost 56.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 85.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Sissons
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sissons
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
56.0% (755)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
60.1% (173)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
88.9% (9)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Sissons
Frost
Home
53.6% (278)
57.3% (497)
Away
60.0% (305)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Sissons
Frost
P1
56.2%
60.2%
P2
58.3%
56.0%
P3
56.4%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |