Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.8% vs Carrick 54.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 50.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 52.6%
Neutral zone
Sissons 50.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Sissons
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sissons
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (436)
55.5% (470)
+2.1%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
50.0% (58)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sissons is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Sissons shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carrick
Home
53.3% (274)
58.6% (261)
Away
60.0% (305)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Sissons
Carrick
P1
55.7%
55.9%
P2
58.3%
53.5%
P3
56.4%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |