Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sissons 54.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 57.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Sissons
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Sissons
Carrick
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Sissons
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
1
Sissons
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,078)
52.2% (2,544)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.7% (458)
61.3% (75)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
50.8% (435)
-2.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sissons is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,456).
Sissons shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carrick
Home
54.1% (4,252)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Sissons
Carrick
P1
53.8%
51.8%
P2
53.2%
52.3%
P3
54.8%
52.6%
OT
49.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
53.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |