Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.8% vs Novak 42.6% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 61.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 97.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 92.9%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Sissons
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Novak
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (436)
40.5% (405)
+17.1%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
45.5% (33)
+19.5%
On power play, Sissons has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Sissons shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Sissons
Novak
Home
53.3% (274)
42.0% (212)
Away
60.0% (305)
39.8% (226)
By Period
Sissons
Novak
P1
55.7%
41.7%
P2
58.3%
39.5%
P3
56.4%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |