Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Novak 43.0% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 58.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 97.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 93.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Sissons
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Novak
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,081)
41.8% (1,568)
+13.7%
Power Play
55.6% (459)
51.5% (134)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
50.0% (2)
-1.5%
On even strength, Sissons has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,977).
Sissons shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Sissons
Novak
Home
54.1% (4,256)
45.1% (831)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Sissons
Novak
P1
53.8%
43.7%
P2
53.2%
42.8%
P3
54.8%
41.1%
OT
49.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
53.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |