Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Bedard 46.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 78.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 74.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 71.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Kerfoot
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kerfoot
Bedard
Last 5: Kerfoot 1-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
3
Kerfoot
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
44.2% (505)
+9.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (36)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
53.8% (13)
-28.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
41.7% (60)
50.7% (223)
Away
58.3% (72)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
53.8%
40.2%
P2
50.0%
49.2%
P3
47.8%
47.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |