Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Malkin 46.1% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Bedard
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
45.7% (219)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
34.6% (26)
+32.1%
On power play, Bedard has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Bedard
Malkin
Home
50.7% (223)
50.4% (113)
Away
42.6% (331)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Bedard
Malkin
P1
40.2%
47.7%
P2
49.2%
44.9%
P3
47.2%
40.0%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%